“The national dialogue that the government rejected is now haunting the national unity”. Failure to listen to the people and insisting on the majority principle in passing controversial Bills in the 11th Parliament is back to make Kenya suffer another political unrest.
Raila Amollo Odinga is the son of the late Jaramogi Oginga Odinga, who was the first vice president of Kenya and one staunch fighter for freedom in the colonial Kenya. He struggled to ensure that Kenya was free from the British colonials but also had insisted, there would be no independence with Jomo Kenyatta in jail. He spent the rest of his life in the opposition when he differed severely with the rule of his boss, president Jomo Kenyatta. Uhuru Muigai Kenyatta is the son of the first president of Kenya, Jomo Kenyatta who got into the political limelight in 2001 when the then president Daniel T. Arap Moi proposed him as his possible successor.
However, in 2013, when the IEBC declared Uhuru the presidential winner, Raila had to move to the Supreme Court to seek justice. He accepted the outcome of the court but did not agree to its judgment. In 2017, again the IEBC declared Uhuru the winner over Raila, a decision that Raila branded as unacceptable. He moved to the same Supreme Court which he had not agreed with barely some 5 years ago.
Now the question is, is it power that Raila is looking for or something beyond this control and power? The investigations and debates reveal that the Rt. Hon. Raila is not power hungry as many may think. He has one thing to struggle for, the third liberation of the Republic of Kenya. His fight for a better Kenya for all, for the poor, and for all ethnic groups is beyond reproach. He sees himself as the liberator of many who are held in bondage. All this was manifest in his campaign in which he branded himself as the biblical Joshua whose mission was to deliver Canaan to the Israelites. He managed to woo many behind his rallies and campaign trails. He included Hon. Kalonzo, his running mate and key principal, Hon. Musalia Mudavadi, Hon. Moses Wetangula and Hon. Isaac Rutto as principals.
When the IEBC declared Uhuru the winner for the second term as the 4th president of Kenya, Raila swore to end the impunity and political corruption in Kenya. Despite all the odds, Raila realized that his mission is not yet fulfilled and if he loses to Uhuru for the second time, he would switch to civil disobedience and rally his supporters to demonstrate against what he calls stolen presidency.
Since the matter is still before the Supreme Court it would be illegal to discuss its merits. However, the question of change and social injustice in Kenya are still fresh and burning. To some extent, the international community has failed to understand Kenya and to provide lasting solution to her power intrigues. The recent international observers did not see anything to blame on the election process and declared the elections free, fair and accountable. This has not met the judgment of many Kenyans from the opposition divide. The elections that saw Uhuru winning were rigged and computer generated. Raila and his supporters swore that Uhuru must go and they will do it within the powers given to them by the constitution of the Republic of Kenya.
As the equation is not yet solved, the two leaders trade in hatred and blames. Each one sees the other as the spoiler. They try to outdo each other as they both face the defining time in their political career. If Raila retires from hard politics, then this would define Odinga’s legacy and end to his political struggle. If Uhuru loses chance for his second term, then this would be the end of Kenyatta’s in the Kenya’s political arena and power struggle.
Other presidential candidates appear to play it cool while some seek to join the winner for any possible considerations for appointments. However, in this grinding struggle for who won and who lost, ordinary Kenyans are getting more divided as the sense of the nation is drifting away. Some even propose secession as one possible solution to the Kenya’s exclusive regimes and power politics.
But secession would mean that the Republic of Kenya remains intact while it will have to secede some of its territory to the new nation. In case, such division may entail change of all names and making the Republic of Kenya disappear, then it is balkanization which is also another possibility. Another possibility as theories explain to us, is the succession. This means, only the name of the Republic of Kenya shall disappear and another name shall replace it.
As this theory by Dr. david Ndii seems to gain popularity, state agents seek to frustrate any debate that would lead Kenya to such plight. The words coming from the state agents are not very kind to any topic that would suggest that Kenya should split into two or three nations. However, the same state power has no alternative on how to unite the nation and bring it to its desired structure without excluding some.