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Exit of the UK from EU is ill advised

While 23rd June 2016 shall remain in the European history I don’t think it is a big deal at all. Remember that Britain joined the European Economic Community at a later stage, that is in 1973, after almost over two decades of the regionalism. Remember that UK assisted in drafting the European Convention of Human Rights and Fundamental Freedoms but did not legislate it until 1998. Remember that even after joining the Union, UK did not subscribe to the Euro currency in 2000. The Great Britain has been a suspicious partner all the way along. What difference does it make if UK makes a big walk out?
Regional arrangements are governed by treaties and any member can walk in and out at will. It is even better for a member whose presence has been skeptic to decide to walk out other than being a burden to the rest of 27 members. UK joined at the need of expansion in the region and there was need to make a strong community after the devastation of the WWII.
The Union stands for supranational ideology that threatens the sovereignty of member states. The strict European policies and questions of human rights are among some of the reasons why UK felt that her sovereignty is threatened. Furthermore, remember that UK has always felt that she is special among other partners. History has it that it is the only state with powerful monarchy after other European states had renounced or rendered their monarchs redundant. Such are some of the odd realities that could not make UK comfortable in the Union.
The last shot is the “human rights and fundamental freedoms of man” which allows the Union to accept massive number of migrants from Eastern Europe and from Syria in particular. If the Union saw the sense of respecting human rights of asylum seekers within its borders, not all members were at home with migrants and UK felt time had come for it to stand alone. The only way to do this is to unbind herself with the treaty.
Questions that remain include the antagonism within the United Kingdom constitutional unity. Scotland may now opt for another referendum for her independence. North Ireland may as well consider possibility of joining Ireland and to remain, therefore, to the EU. There are many issues here that UK must battle with before it becomes a stable stand alone state. One of the serious and critical issues is about the economy. Today’s economy is that of liberal capital market whose fate is backed by regional groupings. EU has been fighting it over with other economic unions including NAFTA, ASEAN and others. Proposing one currency came in handy as a means of supporting one currency to challenge the dollar and threats from Yuan.
Crisis facing Greece in the Euro zone is another complex situation that UK never supported since she never joined the Euro. The question of bailouts of members whose economy is in crisis is one of the reasons why remaining theory remains valid. For instance, if Sterling Pound stumbles it is gonna not be easy for the EU to consider any bail-out and any attempt to support shall come with a cost since this is considered a non member state. The collective bargain for UK is going to be dwindling at the international community since its stand alone policy shall not get so much backing.
Security is another episode that UK must be concerned with. Even if the withdrawal from EU does not imply exit from NATO, questions of doubt shall still linger on for some time. The war on terror that requires strong regional policies may not succeed with fragmented region and UK may find it difficult to deal with its own security without the EU. The say goes, divided we are weak and united we are strong.
Jokes a part! Cultural differences appear to be adding another twist in the whole drama. As great colonizers and a strong empire, UK is still proud of her legacy in the world. English language is the dominating world culture and there is no question to challenge this. Commonwealth was created to foresee, among other things, the survival of this hegemony for centuries to come. How this shall work is still in the mindset of policy makers. For the UK to remain influential she needs to plan well.
UK may consider joining other partners in trade deals to keep her economy strong and viable. The most likely should be the USA and China. But the question of proximity shall always make things more expensive. There is likelihood of getting into economic crisis since UK shall have to rate her economy with giant players during the world economic depression. European bank shall have to re-think its borrowing policies to individual borrowers that seem not to be happy with the trends. Investors are getting skeptical with Europe and possibility of falling financial market is imminent. Already Euro is reeling from the Brexit. A lot more is likely to happen as markets are losing values across the continent.
Most AU members have been beneficiaries from EU. Now imagining EU minus UK is a nightmare for fragile African economies. UKAID and DFID have supported Africa-EU cooperation for some time. UK has been one of the greatest economic partner of many African states especially the Commonwealth nations. Whether such cooperation shall be sustainable is still a big question mark.
The decision has been made and the best we can do is to wait and see. Thanks for reading this blog story from an expert.

About Peter Onyango

Dr. Peter Onyango O. is one of our main contributors. He is a senior law lecturer, a writer, a consultant, peace ambassador, and a researcher. He assists so many professionals, legal minds, and debaters with his skills and scholarly wealth! He supports children and village community as a way of giving back to community. He edits, proof reads, and publishes various articles for our page!

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